Thu 15 Apr 2010
Knoxville Market Update
Posted by jcazana under Commercial & Investment Properties, Economy, Forbes, Josh Flory, Knoxville News Sentinel, Leases, Office space, Retail, commercial real estate
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The Knoxville market has been an interesting place the last couple of months. I just returned from the Knoxville Area Association of Realtors (KAAR) Trade Show and found many residential realtors content with the market’s direction, not thrilled just content. Of course they are residential realtors, not commercial. Commercial tends to lag about 12 to 18 months behind the residential market. That is what happened on the way down, will it happen on the way up?
There is good news from the lenders side. From several developers and mortgage brokers I have talked to institutional lenders are loosening the strings and getting more aggressive. Most of that is for permenant financing. Banks however are very tight fisted with the money on commercial deals and that may not change anytime soon.
On the leasing and sales side of the market it really depends on who you talk too. Many brokers say they are working hard and showing space but not many deals are closing.
If you talk to Spery Van Ness/RM Moore you will get a different story. In today’s Property Scope put out by the Knoxville News Sentinel you can read about the success RM Moore has had in the first quarter of 2010. 
http://blogs.knoxnews.com/flory/2010/04/local_brokerage_sees_jump_in_c.html
Looking for some good news in commercial real estate? Sperry Van Ness/R.M. Moore is happy to oblige.
The local brokerage firm said this week that its sales and leasing transactions were up 450 percent in the first quarter, compared to the same period in 2009, while volume was up 863 percent.
“We feel it is a great sign of the economy recovering and heading in the right direction,” firm president Roger Moore said in a news release. “Our leasing activity in both retail and office has been excellent in the first quarter with over 150,000 square feet leased.”
As far as businesses coming to Knoxville, the city contiues to be one of the top locations for business, although the city did call a few spots in the release of yesterday’ s Forbes Best Places for Business and Careers.
From the Knoxville News Sentinel:
Metropolitan Knoxville dropped to No. 56 on Forbes’ 2010 list of the Best Places for Business and Careers.
That’s down from No. 43 on the 2009 list and a high-riding No. 10 in 2008.
Plummeting 46 spots in two years, that’s the bad news. The good news is that Knoxville still ranks higher than 144 of the 200 largest metros in the country.
It’s all relative.
Forbes considered a dozen metrics for its 12th annual rankings, including the cost of doing business, projected job growth, cost of living, income growth, educational attainment, crime and others.
The leaders on the metro list are mostly “Midwestern and Western cities, areas with reasonable business costs, strong economic outlooks and a solid quality of life,” the Forbes story says.
Des Moines, Iowa is No. 1, followed by Provo, Utah; Raleigh, N.C.; Fort Collins, Colo.; and Lincoln, Neb.
Knoxville’s overall ranking was hurt by lower rankings in the cost of doing business, income growth and job growth categories. The sharpest decline was in income growth, falling to No. 193 from No. 142 in 2009.
The cost of doing business (labor, energy, taxes and office space) ranking in 2010 is No. 27, compared to No. 19 last year. The job growth ranking (five-year annualized figures) for this year is No. 116 compared to No. 92 in 2009.
As I mentioned, the news wasn’t all bad. Knoxville showed improvement in some metrics. The city’s ranking for educational attainment (share of population with a bachelor’s degree or higher) rose 11 spots to No. 84 from No. 95 on the 2009 list.
Metro Knoxville’s crime rate, sensational crime stories notwithstanding, also is better. Knoxville’s ranking (crimes per 100,000 people) improved to No. 117 from No. 126 last year.
The Knoxville area’s cost of living ranking (based on cost of housing, utilities, transportation and other costs) also improved, rising to No. 76 this year from No. 83 in 2009.
And, finally, Forbes expects Knoxville to generate more jobs than it did last year. The city’s projected job growth ranking rose to No. 126 from No. 142.
I think Roger Harris put it best when he writes is all about your perspective. Being one of the top 60 cities in the country for business is a great accomplishment. Also, these surveys can be cyclical. If Tennessee or Knoxville has a bad year in recruitment or another rated metric it can significantly effect the rankings.
Knoxville is still getting shots a quite a few big projects. From what I have been told the Knoxville Area Chamber Partnership has been inundated with requests for information from major companies. And I expect to see the trend continuing in the near future.
If you have any questions pleaes feel free to contact me at 865-584-3967 or jcazana@ciprop.com.



